Seasonal and cyclical variations in short-term postoperative outcomes of colorectal cancer: a time series analysis.

 0 Người đánh giá. Xếp hạng trung bình 0

Tác giả: David Casado-Rodrigo, Francisco Castillejos-Ibáñez, Stephanie García-Botello, Luisa Paola Garzón-Hernández, José Martín-Arévalo, Carolina Martínez-Ciarpaglini, David Moro-Valdezate, Leticia Pérez-Santiago, Vicente Pla-Martí, José Saúl Sánchez-Lara

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 242.335 Christmas season

Thông tin xuất bản: England : Scientific reports , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 66622

 To identify a cyclical pattern in short-term postoperative outcomes after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery across the year. Observational study including all consecutive patients diagnosed with CRC who underwent oncological surgery between January 2012 and December 2023. A time series study was performed to identify a possible cyclic pattern of postoperative complications. Non-supervised learning techniques were used to identify months of surgery with similar outcome variables in the time series. Multivariable analysis with logistic binary regression was conducted to identify independent risk factors for postoperative complications. A total of 1576 patients met the inclusion criteria. The postoperative morbidity and mortality rates were 41.1% and 3.7%, respectively. A cyclical pattern was identified, suggesting that postoperative complications were periodically higher in some months across the year. Three different clusters were identified. Group 1: January, April, July, and August
  Group 2: February, May, September, November, and December
  and Group 3: March, June, and October. No differences in baseline characteristics were found between clusters. Group 3 presented the highest rate of anastomotic leak (p ≤ 0.001
  OR = 1.61, 95% CI 1.30-2.00), unnoticed perforation p = 0.027
  OR = 1.86, 95% CI 1.18-2.93), diffuse postoperative peritonitis (p = 0.018
  OR = 1.50, 95% CI 1.10-2.04) and needed more postoperative reoperations (p = 0.013
  OR = 1.33, 95% CI 1.07-1.65). Multivariate analysis revealed male sex (p = 0.002), duration of operation (p = 0.017) and month grouping (p ≤ 0.001) as independent risk factors for anastomotic leak. Postoperative complications after CRC surgery follow a cyclical pattern, but without seasonal distribution. Three well-defined clusters with different postoperative outcomes have been identified. Month cluster was one of the independent risk factors for anastomotic leak.
Tạo bộ sưu tập với mã QR

THƯ VIỆN - TRƯỜNG ĐẠI HỌC CÔNG NGHỆ TP.HCM

ĐT: (028) 36225755 | Email: tt.thuvien@hutech.edu.vn

Copyright @2024 THƯ VIỆN HUTECH