Spatial-statistical modeling of deforestation from an ecogeomorphic approach in typical Hyrcanian forests, Northern Iran.

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Tác giả: M Gharachorlu, A Madadi, F Pourfarrashzadeh, S Asghari Sareskanrood

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: Netherlands : Environmental monitoring and assessment , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 676482

Deforestation is a significant environmental concern of the present century. This issue has received serious attention from global and regional communities due to its relationship with various environmental issues such as climate change, erosion, water quality, and biodiversity. Concerns about deforestation in arid and semi-arid countries, such as Iran, are quite tangible since it confronted with a shortage of forest resources on the one hand and acute issues caused by flood and erosion hazards on the other hand. The Talesh forests in the north of Iran, which are a manifestation of the ancient Hyrcanian forests with huge ecological reserves, is exposed to forest loss due to the expansion of human activities such as agriculture, wood harvesting, livestock grazing, and mining, despite the implementation of watershed management plans and forest conservation. The conservation and restoration of these forest ecosystems necessitate knowledge of the location and rate of deforestation, as well as its driving factors, through a systemic and interdisciplinary approach that has not yet been taken into account. By using an ecogeomorphic approach to model the deforestation event, we attempted to investigate the link between the ecological process of deforestation and geomorphological processes by combining the spatial terrain analysis with the statistical logistic regression. Given the approach in deforestation modeling, we were able to explain the effects of both physical and anthropogenic factors on deforestation only by incorporating physical variables (geomorphology), which can easily be derived from available digital elevation models (DEMs). First, we succeeded in mapping deforestation points in 12 catchments over 32 years using Landsat images acquired in 1991 and 2022 through change detection technique. The results of the assessment of negative changes in forest cover from 1991 to 2022 showed that about 90 km
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