AIMS: To investigate the long-term natural history of ellipsoid zone (EZ) width in METHODS: EZ width measurements from optical coherence tomography were retrospectively obtained from 110 eyes of 55 participants with molecularly confirmed biallelic RESULTS: Compared with linear and quadratic models, exponential decline best represented the long-term loss of EZ width based on the deviance information criterion score. Log-transformed EZ width declined linearly over 30 years of inferred disease duration (median: 0.063 (IQR: 0.040-0.086) log (µm)/year). Compared with the raw EZ width decline rate, the log-transformed EZ width decline rate required 48% fewer patients to achieve an identically powered 1-year trial (38 vs 73 participants). Log EZ width decline rate was uncoupled from baseline EZ width (Spearman ρ=-0.18, p=0.06) and age (ρ=-0.10, p=0.31). Eyes with Usher syndrome exhibited earlier median onset ages of macular EZ width loss (18.8 (IQR: 13.1-24.7) vs 28.1 (IQR: 18.5-35.8) years, p<
0.001) but comparable log EZ width decline rates (0.060 (IQR: 0.035-0.100) vs 0.065 (IQR: 0.050-0.079) log (µm)/year
p=0.42). CONCLUSIONS: EZ width follows an exponential decline in