Trends and cross-country inequalities in global burns burden among children and adolescents: A population-based study from 1990 to 2021.

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Tác giả: Chen Jiang, Zhanfei Li, Kan Wang, Qiqi Wu

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 617.11 *Burns and scalds

Thông tin xuất bản: Netherlands : Burns : journal of the International Society for Burn Injuries , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 678974

BACKGROUND: Burns among children and adolescents represent a significant global health burden, leading to substantial morbidity and disability. This study aimed to analyze the trends in burn incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) from 1990 to 2021, and to project future trends to 2035, highlighting global and regional disparities. METHODS: We utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database covering 204 countries and territories. Burn data were extracted from multiple sources including hospital records, health surveys, and national health databases. Trend analysis was projected using the Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model. Health inequality was assessed using the slope index of inequality (SII) and the concentration index (CI). RESULTS: In 2021, the global incidence of burns among children and adolescents was 8,484,254 cases, with an age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of 1315.94 per 100,000 population, showing an annual reduction of 1.33 % from 1990. The prevalence and YLDs also showed significant annual declines. Males had higher incidence rates than females. Younger children (0-4 years) experienced the highest incidence rates, while adolescents (15-19 years) had the highest prevalence. Regional disparities were evident, with Central Asia and Central Europe having the highest ASIRs. The SII and CI indicated persistent socio-economic health disparities, with lower socio-demographic index (SDI) countries bearing a disproportionate burden. Predictive analysis suggests a continued decline in burn incidence, prevalence, and YLDs through 2035. Additionally, burns among adolescents and young adults result in significant loss of labor force, exacerbating socio-economic challenges in affected regions. CONCLUSION: The global burden of burns in children and adolescents has decreased significantly, yet substantial disparities persist across different regions and socio-economic strata. Continued efforts in improving burn prevention, treatment, and rehabilitation are essential to further reduce the burden and address health inequalities.
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