Evaluating allograft risk models in organ transplantation: Understanding and balancing model discrimination and calibration.

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Tác giả: Peter Abt, David Goldberg, Michael Harhay, Hemant Ishwaran, Vishnu Potluri, Sarah J Ratcliffe, Peter P Reese, Emily Vail

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: United States : Liver transplantation : official publication of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases and the International Liver Transplantation Society , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 679120

In the field of organ transplantation, the accurate assessment of donor organ quality is necessary for efficient organ allocation and informed consent for recipients. A common approach to organ quality assessment is the development of statistical models that accurately predict posttransplant survival by integrating multiple characteristics of the donor and allograft. Despite the proliferation of predictive models across many domains of medicine, many physicians may have limited familiarity with how these models are built, the assessment of how well models function in their population, and the risks of a poorly performing model. Our goal in this perspective is to offer advice to transplant professionals about how to evaluate a prediction model, focusing on the key aspects of discrimination and calibration. We use liver allograft assessment as a paradigm example, but the lessons pertain to other scenarios too.
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