Evaluating the predictive value of clinical models for HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis.

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Tác giả: Caifang Deng, Luhuai Feng, Wenming He, Bobin Hu, Long Huang, Jianning Jiang, Hongqian Liang, Yang Lu, Aoli Ren, Minghua Su, Hang Wang

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 622.7 Ore dressing

Thông tin xuất bản: Switzerland : Frontiers in medicine , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 683578

OBJECTIVES: Chronic viral hepatitis B (CHB) is a prevalent liver disease with primary hepatic carcinoma (HCC) as a severe complication. Clinical prediction models have gained attention for predicting HBV-related HCC (HBV-HCC). This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of existing models for HBV-HCC through meta-analysis. DESIGN: Meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: Embase, PubMed, the Chinese Biomedical Literature Service System, and the Cochrane database were used for searches between 1970 and 2022. METHODS: A meta-analysis was conducted to assess original studies on HBV-HCC prediction models. The REACH-B, GAGHCC, and CUHCC models were externally validated in a Guangxi cohort. The C-index and calibration curve evaluated 5 years predictive performance, with subgroup analysis by region and risk bias. RESULTS: After screening, 27 research articles were included, covering the GAGHCC, REACH-B, PAGE-B, CU-HCC, CAMD, and mPAGE-B models. The meta-analysis indicated that these models had moderate discrimination in predicting HCC risk in HBV-infected patients, with C-index values from 0.75 to 0.82. The mPAGE-B (0.79, 95% CI: 0.79-0.80), GAG-HCC (0.80, 95% CI: 0.78-0.82), and CAMD (0.80, 95% CI: 0.78-0.81) models demonstrated better discrimination than others ( CONCLUSION: Existing models have predictive value for HBV-infected patients but show geographical limitations and reduced effectiveness in Guangxi.
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