Prediction of daily childhood asthma exacerbation from ambient meteorological, environmental risk factors and respiratory viruses, Philadelphia, PA, 2011 to 2016.

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Tác giả: Amy H Auchincloss, Anneclaire J De Roos, Christopher B Forrest, Wanyu Huang, Chén C Kenyon, Steven Melly, Kari Moore, Lucy F Robinson, Leah H Schinasi

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại:

Thông tin xuất bản: Germany : Environmental science and pollution research international , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 717176

Childhood asthma exacerbation has multiple risk factors that occur concurrently in the environment - including extreme meteorological conditions, air pollution, aeroallergens, and respiratory virus infections. Few studies have predicted asthma exacerbation based on multiple time-varying environmental risk factors, together. In this study, we constructed an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to predict "high-risk" days for childhood asthma exacerbation in Philadelphia, PA from 2011 to 2016, during the aeroallergen season of each year, using a total of 28,540 asthma exacerbation case events identified from electronic health record (EHR) data. We selected predictors from quantile weighted sum regression (gQWS), incorporating temporal lags and season-stratification (early- vs. late-season), which were entered subsequently into multivariable ARIMA models. We found that daily nitrogen dioxide (NO
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