BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of patterns and quantitative measures of lung fibrosis on high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) in patients identified as having progressive pulmonary fibrosis (PPF) has not been established. We investigated whether HRCT patterns and quantitative scores were associated with risk of progression in patients with PPF. METHODS: Patients enrolled in the ILD-PRO Registry had an interstitial lung disease (ILD) other than idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, reticular abnormality and traction bronchiectasis, and met criteria for ILD progression. HRCT images taken between 24 months prior to enrollment and 90 days after enrollment were analyzed using a machine learning algorithm to derive quantitative scores. Associations were assessed between HRCT pattern (usual interstitial pneumonia [UIP]-like versus other patterns) and tertiles of quantitative scores and measures of disease severity at enrollment, and between these patterns/tertiles at enrollment and ILD progression (relative decline in forced vital capacity [FVC] % predicted ≥ 10%, lung transplant, or death) over a median follow-up of 17.3 months. RESULTS: Among 395 patients, 178 (45.1%) had a UIP-like pattern on HRCT. A UIP-like pattern did not associate with worse disease severity at enrollment or an increased risk of ILD progression (HR 1.01 [95% CI: 0.71, 1.44]). The highest quantitative lung fibrosis (QLF) score tertile (≥ 20.5%) was associated with worse disease severity. In unadjusted analyses, patients with QLF scores in the highest tertile had a significantly increased risk of ILD progression versus the middle tertile (HR [95% CI] 1.63 [1.07, 2.49] and a numerically increased risk versus the lowest tertile (HR 1.46 [0.97, 2.18])
however, after adjustment for sex, age, FVC % predicted and oxygen use at enrollment, there were no significant differences. There were no significant associations between tertiles of quantitative ILD score, quantitative ground glass score, or quantitative honeycomb cysts score and risk of ILD progression in unadjusted or adjusted analyses. CONCLUSIONS: In a real-world cohort of patients with PPF, QLF score associated with subsequent risk of ILD progression, while HRCT pattern did not. The QLF score did not provide additional prognostic information beyond clinical variables. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov
No: NCT01915511
registered August 5, 2013
URL: www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov .