Monsoon rainfall trends and change point detection affecting kharif paddy ecosystems and gross primary productivity in Odisha.

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Tác giả: Susri B Barnana Behera, Roshan Beuria, Priyambada Pattanaik, Satyaban Bishoyi Ratna, Sarat Chandra Sahu

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 949.59012 *Greece

Thông tin xuất bản: England : Scientific reports , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 746313

This study uses data from 1901 to 2023 to investigate the long-term spatiotemporal variations and trends in monsoon rainfall. It also looks at how these changes may affect Kharif Paddy production in the state's agro-climatic zones from 2000 to 2022. The Pettitt test was used to identify sudden alterations in rainfall patterns, and the Mann-Kendall (MK) test was used to assess rainfall trends. The findings show that most districts in Odisha have no significant change in monsoon rainfall, indicating a generally consistent pattern over the past 123 years. Only Sundergarh in the North-Western Plateau Zone showed a significant negative trend (-2.51), highlighting potential localized vulnerabilities. Change detection analysis shows the probable change years vary by districts (under agro-climatic zones) ranging from 1919 to 2009, whereas inter-seasonal rainfall variability was recorded to increase after 1980. The relationship between GPP and rainfall revealed non-linear characterises. Meanwhile, the seasonal trend from 2000 to 2022 showed a favourable increase in Gross Primary Productivity (GPP), averaging 10.88 gC/m
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