Model-averaged Bayesian t tests.

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Tác giả: František Bartoš, Fabian Dablander, Don van den Bergh, Alexander Ly, Maximilian Maier, Maarten Marsman, Daniel S Quintana, Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Ngôn ngữ: eng

Ký hiệu phân loại: 704.9481 Iconography

Thông tin xuất bản: United States : Psychonomic bulletin & review , 2025

Mô tả vật lý:

Bộ sưu tập: NCBI

ID: 752092

One of the most common statistical analyses in experimental psychology concerns the comparison of two means using the frequentist t test. However, frequentist t tests do not quantify evidence and require various assumption tests. Recently, popularized Bayesian t tests do quantify evidence, but these were developed for scenarios where the two populations are assumed to have the same variance. As an alternative to both methods, we outline a comprehensive t test framework based on Bayesian model averaging. This new t test framework simultaneously takes into account models that assume equal and unequal variances, and models that use t-likelihoods to improve robustness to outliers. The resulting inference is based on a weighted average across the entire model ensemble, with higher weights assigned to models that predicted the observed data well. This new t test framework provides an integrated approach to assumption checks and inference by applying a series of pertinent models to the data simultaneously rather than sequentially. The integrated Bayesian model-averaged t tests achieve robustness without having to commit to a single model following a series of assumption checks. To facilitate practical applications, we provide user-friendly implementations in JASP and via the
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